This article addresses several points - key among them the recent thaw in corporate lending. What is not mentioned is the decline in the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) which measures freight rates and is often seen as a proxy for commodities' health.
http://www.supplychainbrain.com/content/blogs/think-tank/blog/article/carriers-beware-of-good-economic-news/
Despite the BDI's abysmal fall, there are also some key issues developing, not the least among them, China's interest in Nigerian oil reserves:
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5hB_Xs_Q0MTGM6o3yRo50aFrRGkTQD9B11L080
UPDATE:
Here is more info on the BDI. Basically, it's Econ 101, or supply and demand. Too much supply and not enough demand are creating fears of a potential glut. The earlier spike in the BDI this summer was due to slower than expected deliveries which helped temporarily alleviate said perception. Since then, the BDI has fallen nearly 50% from its June 3 peak:
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/946c8926-ac90-11de-a754-00144feabdc0.html
Keep in mind though that nothing falls in a straight line forever. Despite dire stories such as this, the outlook is still positive. The BDI may pick up again if scheduled deliveries fail to manifest on time. Or, for more fundamental reasons, large buyers of commodities like China decide to continue importing raw materials.
Tuesday, September 29, 2009
blog comments powered by Disqus
Blog Archive
-
▼
2009
(472)
-
▼
September
(27)
- The Debts of the Spenders: Liv-Ex Fine Wine Index ...
- The Debts of the World: Longer Term Outlook for Su...
- The Debts of the Spenders: Fed Plans to Continue T...
- The Debts of the Spenders: Putting Government Mort...
- The Debts of the Spenders: 2009 US Retail Import V...
- The Debts of the Spenders: Putting Government Mort...
- The Debts of the Spenders: Has Rust Fungus Spread ...
- The Debts of the Lenders: Chinese Credit Card Deli...
- The Debts of the Spenders: Roth IRA 2010 Rule Changes
- The Debts of the Spenders: German Government Bets ...
- The Debts of the Spenders: Investment Grade CDX Tr...
- The Debts of the Spenders: High Yield Makes New Highs
- The Debts of the Spenders: Frost Threat Returns to...
- The Debts of the Spenders: Secondary Offerings Hit...
- The Debts of the Lenders: JP Morgan Launches $1 Bi...
- The Debts of the Lenders: Japan's Fujii Rejects Ye...
- The Debts of the Spenders: Largest Rally Against O...
- The Debts of the Spenders: Thousands of Abandoned/...
- The Debts of the Spenders: 2009 US Harvest Season
- The Debts of the Spenders: FHA - My Death Has Been...
- The Debts of the World: Debts Markets React to G20...
- The Debts of the World: Is Junk Losing Its Steam?
- The Debts of the Spenders: Structured Finance Come...
- The Debts of the World: Soybeans Action Potentiall...
- The Debts of the Spenders: CFTC To Modify Commitme...
- The Debts of the Spenders: Chaikin Money Flow and ...
- The Debts of the Spenders: Life Insurance Sales Pl...
-
▼
September
(27)